The guide is a resource for financial advisers and investors to help
break down the state of the markets and economy. It is also useful for investors to
understand the drivers of recent market performance, as well as some of the
issues which will impact returns going forward.
Entering
2013, financial markets faced significant challenges including a slumping
European economy, concerns about inflation in some emerging markets and fiscal
drag in the U.S. from tax increases and spending cuts.
Despite
this, equity markets had a remarkably strong quarter, with major stock market
indices hitting all-time highs in a full recovery from the 2007-2009 bear
market. Fixed-income markets, however, saw more mixed performance as investors
moved cash toward risk assets.
This
quarter’s guide addresses topics such as:
How
a surge in household wealth is offsetting some of the impacts of fiscal drag;
Potential
stock market returns starting from higher valuations ;
Implications
of Federal Reserve policy for inflation, bonds and equities;
The
contrast between aggressive fiscal and monetary stimulus in Japan and austerity
in Europe; and
Fred
Reish, a partner at Drinker Biddle & Reath, the Los Angeles law firm, has
launched fredreish.com, a blog about retirement regulation and compliance.
“We’re
in a fairly fast-changing area. If you go back 10, 20 years, most of the
articles would be outdated,” Reish told PLANADVISER.
“Things
do change,” he said. “Over the last year, we’ve written about 408(b)2 and
404(a) 5 disclosures [by plan sponsors to participants] , which have both had
deadlines for compliance last year. Those articles are still relevant for
people who have questions about how to comply or what they should be doing. They’re
not as quite as relevant as they were, but most of the developments in the last
10 years continue to be relevant,” Reish said. They can be helpful to deepen
someone’s background or understanding of current regulation.
Reish
follows new regulations closely. One upcoming issue, the Department of Labor’s
(DOL’s) redefinition of fiduciary advice regulation, slated to take place in
July, would be a game changer, Reish feels, and would affect a number of
transactions and providers.
If
the definition is expanded, it could encompass more people within the
definition of fiduciary, and brokers and insurance brokers would likely feel
the greatest impact, Reish said.
A
closely related development is that the regulation could include some
provisions that affect how rollovers are captured, and many IRA-related
transactions—both significant for how people do business as well as for IRA
account-holders.
(Cont’d…)
Reish
details how a regulation will impact broker/dealers, or registered independent
advisers, or recordkeepers or providers. “Because of the different ways these
providers do business,” he explained, “the rules impact them differently. I
tend to focus on people within the industry and how it affects them, rather
than on the regulation itself.”
401(k)s
are like onions, Reish said, with a lot of layers. “Just when you think every
401(k) issue has been solved, you find another,” he said. One concern that has
recently begun cropping up is participants’ own view of their account balances,
and how small the monthly payout might seem, in the withdrawal phase, compared
with the entire balance.
A
monthly $1,600 check might seem pretty measly when the account holds about
$400,000, Reish said, based on the 4% withdrawal formula that accounts for
inflation, as well as good and bad stock markets over a 30-year period. “But
it’s not a slam dunk,” Reish said.
As
people become more interested in annuities and other guaranteed income
solutions, income in retirement is of great concern to the DOL and the Treasury
Department. Both agencies are trying to
make it easier for plan sponsors to give different solutions to participants.
One possibility would be requiring quarterly statements to participants that
include a projection of retirement income, helping to recast 401(k)s as income
generators instead of wealth vehicles. If the amount was too low to generate
sufficient income in retirement, Reish pointed out, it could motivate
participants to save more.
Reish
has been writing for some time on these issues, reaching out through LinkedIn
with articles that address compliance issues of interest to advisers and
broker/dealers, on subjects ranging from participant disclosure regulations and
their impact on recordkeepers, to what the 408(b) changes mean to registered
investment advisers. These articles are available on the blog.
Reish’s areas of specialty include
issues concerning the employee retirement income security act (ERISA), employee
benefits and executive compensation, government and regulatory affairs. He is a
member of the firm’s retirement income team. His
blog is www.FredReish.com.