Millennials’ Retirement Prospects Are Challenging

They earn less than older generations, are less likely to participate in a retirement plan, and will have to contend with longer life spans and rising health care costs.

Retirement prospects for Millennials are particularly challenging, the Center for Retirement Research at Boston College says in a new brief, “Will Millennials Be Ready for Retirement?”

Many Millennials, those born between 1981 and 1999 and, thus, between the ages of 37 and 19, began their careers in a tough job market following the bursting of the dot.com bubble in 2000 and the Great Recession of 2008 and have substantial student debt, The Center for Retirement Research says. Further, many employers are cutting back on pensions and health care benefits, and Millennials’ life spans will likely be higher than previous generations due to increasing longevity. They also face the prospect that Social Security benefits will be cut or, perhaps, not exist at all, and they will have to grapple with rising health care costs.

The Center says that the story about Millennials starts off on a positive note, as Millennials are more likely than earlier generations to have a college degree. Citing a 2014 Pew study, the Center notes that the median income for Millennials with a college degree is 63% higher than for high school graduates. Their unemployment rate is also 8% lower and they reported greater job satisfaction.

However, because many Millennials entered the job market between 2002 and 2012, fewer male and female Millennials have a job than older generations. Furthermore, the Center says, “regardless of their ability to find some type of job, one apparent struggle for both men and women has been finding quality jobs—career-track positions with good compensation.”

They also earn less than older generations and are less likely to be offered a retirement plan and health insurance: “The percentage of [Millennial] workers participating in a retirement plan is sharply lower for both men and women. This lack of a savings vehicle is a particular concern given that individuals who do not have a workplace retirement plan rarely save for retirement on their own. Similarly, a much smaller share of male and female workers are covered by employer-provided health insurance.”

Poorer job prospects and student debt have caused the percentage of Millennial men married at age 25 to be less than half for late Baby Boomers and only two-thirds of that for Gen Xers. Likewise, by age 35, 50% of Millennials own a home, compared to 60% of late Baby Boomers and Gen Xers.

The Center found that among Millennial households between the ages of 25 and 28, 49% are saddled with student debt, compared to 29% of late Boomers and 32% of Gen Xers in that age group. “Research has shown,” the Center says, “that young workers with student debt have less in retirement plans and are more likely to end up at risk in retirement. The increase in student debt, low rate of home ownership and low rate of participation in retirement savings plans has produced a big decline in the median ratio of wealth to income compared to earlier cohorts. Saving for retirement is clearly getting harder for Millennials.”

The Center for Retirement Research concludes that the outcome for Millennials could possibly improve, given the fact that they still have a long time horizon to save, the markets could deliver strong returns and the government could save Social Security. The full “Will Millennials Be Ready for Retirement?” brief can be downloaded here.

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Evidence Mounts To Show Automated Plans Do Better

More than 82% of those from the Millennial generation, defined here as those born between 1977 and 1993, are now invested in a diversified portfolio.

Jeff Kletti, head of investments at Wells Fargo Institutional Retirement and Trust, sat down recently with PLANADVISER to offer an inside look at trends and challenges taking shape within the company’s sizable defined contribution (DC) plan book of business.

Among various topics, the conversation focused in large part on plan sponsors’ embrace of passive target-date funds (TDFs), and how this trend includes some important points of subtlety that go beyond “active versus passive.” Kletti also took time to highlight the way retirement plan participants have, tied to the popularity of automatic enrollment into target-date funds, significantly improved the diversification of their retirement accounts.

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“Over the last five years, the number of participants invested in a diversified portfolio has continued to increase,” he explained. “More than 82% of those from the Millennial generation, born between 1977 and 1993, are now invested in a diversified portfolio. This is a tremendous development from the perspective of ensuring retirement investors carry an appropriate amount of risk.”

For some investors, Kletti said, the use of a TDF results in more risk being taken than otherwise would have been the case—for example, in the situation where a Millennial investor moves from favoring stable value or money market investments to accessing a balanced portfolio of U.S. and international equities within a TDF. Others actually see their risk-taking dialed back when they either choose or are swept into a TDF, say in the case of a late-career Baby Boomer moving out of heavily concentrated positions in employer stock or a small segment of the U.S. stock market.

According to the data provided by Wells Fargo, the Baby Boomer generation, born between 1946 and 1964, is lagging their Millennial counterparts when it comes to risk-optimized investing, with 76.8% invested in a well-diversified portfolio.

“About a third of participants across Millennials, Generation X (1965-1976), and Baby Boomers who self-manage the investment of their plan accounts are more conservative than a typical target-date fund appropriate to their age,” Kletti observed. “At the same time, over 50% of Boomers have greater equity exposure than an age-appropriate target-date fund, which could expose them to significant investment risk.”

The data further shows 11% of Millennials and 42% from Generation X are invested more aggressively than an age appropriate target date option.

 

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