Among Advisers’ Top Concerns? Another 401(k) Drop in 2023

A “state of the industry” report from recordkeeper Ubiquity finds financial advisers fear another year of poor investment returns that would hit client 401(k)s—as well as asset-based management fees.


Financial advisers working in the retirement space are worried 2023 may bring more pain to 401(k) portfolios, reducing client savings, as well as the fees that are often tied to them, according to this year’s “state of the industry” report from small plan retirement provider Ubiquity Retirement + Savings.

The findings come from a fourth-quarter survey of retirement plan advisers who work with Ubiquity. Among those surveyed, 58.4% cited “poor investment returns” as a top concern, falling just behind concern over inflation at 59.4%. The third biggest worry, at 57.4%, was an overall recession, according to the findings.

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“Our survey shows that there is reasonable concern among industry professionals and the clients they serve about retirement security in America,” Chad Parks, founder and CEO of Ubiquity, said in a press release. “As we enter into a period of heightened economic turbulence, it’s crucial for retirement plan sponsors, participants and small business owners to take a close look at their 401(k) plans in order to ensure they are well-positioned in 2023.”

The research comes after the most recent defined contribution data from the country’s largest recordkeeper, Boston-based Fidelity Investments, saw a decline of 23% for 401(k) plan portfolios through the third quarter of 2022. Meanwhile, Lincolnshire, Illinois-based Alight Solutions recently reported that the market declines last year led to increased trading within 401(k) plans, as participants sought safety in fixed income—despite the fact that bonds also dropped last year. Alight, which tracks the activity of more than 2 million participants, found 41 days of above-normal trading activity last year, as compared to just three days in 2021.

Despite the concerns about losses, financial advisers noted little to no change in 401(k) contributions, loans and risk appetite for clients in 2023. The majority (56.4%) also expect inflation to be lower by the end of 2023, according to the survey.

That was in contrast to plan sponsors surveyed by Ubiquity, 57.3% of which expect inflation to be higher at the end of 2023. Despite these disparate points of view, plan sponsors and financial advisers believe there will be two interest rate hikes from the Federal Reserve in 2023.

Economic Upheaval

The economic environment of 2022 also spurred changes in retirement and financial well-being programs and their design, according to a January 3 report from Alight Solutions.

In a survey of 90 employers employing more than 3 million workers, the recordkeeper found that 30% of respondents have changed their 401(k) plan—25% increasing benefits and 5% decreasing. Meanwhile, five out of six employers are providing resources to help employees invest in a high-inflation environment.

Ubiquity, which also surveyed plan participants, found that the majority (57.7%) do not think they are saving enough for retirement. That said, 60% of participants said they will make little to no change to their 401(k) contributions, a disconnect Ubiquity called an “overarching concern.”

“Our findings accentuate the reality of the retirement crisis,” Parks said in the release. “The goal of a fairytale retirement is becoming less attainable, fueling a new wave of demand for better workplace benefits with savings offerings being a top priority.”

The Ubiquity survey was drawn from more than 1,100 plan sponsors, advisers, participants and solo 401(k) users surveyed in Q4 2022, Ubiquity said. The San Francisco-based recordkeeper works with more than 10,000 small businesses, with more than $3 billion in retirement assets.

Nonqualified Deferred Compensation Plans Increasingly Include Noncompete Clauses

Employers are leveraging NQDCs for retention use at increasing rates, with 30% having a noncompete provision.


Non-qualified deferred compensation plans are increasingly being used by employers as retention tools by including noncompete or “bad actor” forfeiture clauses, according to research released Wednesday by the Plan Sponsor Council of America.

Of 135 companies offering NQDC plans to employees, 30% said they had noncompete clauses in the 2022 report, up from just 11.5% in 2021, according to data provided to PLANADVISER. In addition, 40% of employers said they have a “bad actor” forfeiture provision in 2022’s report, up from 23.7% in 2021.

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The upward trend of NQDC plans is often used as a carrot for highly compensated employees to have a tax-deferred investment option beyond their company 401(k). The use of this benefit, along with the increase in the retention clauses, shows an attempt by employers to keep high-level employees in a tight labor market, according to the researchers.

“In an increasingly competitive market, employers are looking for new and creative ways to differentiate themselves, and their benefit programs are an integral part of that positioning,” Nevin Adams, head of research and chief content officer for the American Retirement Association, said in a press release. “Nonqualified deferred compensation programs provide both the flexibility in design and funding to attract key talent—and to help ensure that those individuals are committed to their employer.”

The interest in NQDC as a benefit has risen since the Great Resignation had employers scrambling to draw and retain talent, says Emily Langdon, a partner at Husch Blackwell LLP who advises employers in implementing NQDC plans.

“The Great Resignation created a much greater awareness of certain employee benefits (or the lack thereof) that are desirable for many employees,” Langdon says. “It is clear that employers are feeling pressure at all levels of employment, especially in their efforts to retain executive leadership and to attract new executives.”

In today’s economic environment, most employers are looking for ways to retain employees through benefit programs and incentive plans that are tied to performance goals, objectives, and other subjective standards, Langdon says. At the same time, she notes, employers also “want to ensure that performance awards are only awarded for positive performance and are forfeited in the event that a key executive is terminated for cause or engages in other activity (e.g. competition) that is detrimental to the employer.”

Meeting Goals

The PSCA findings of an uptick in noncompete clauses for NQDCs come just as the Federal Trade Commission has proposed a ban on noncompete clauses nationally. The regulator is following a mandate from President Joe Biden’s administration to stop the use of noncompete contracts for workers, which the FTC estimates would boost wages for American workers by a combined $300 billion per year and expand career opportunities for 30 million Americans. Critics of the mandate, such as the U.S. Chamber of Commerce, say noncompete agreements are important tools for preserving competitive data and information, and furthermore may not be within the mandate of the FTC.

Langdon says even if the broad ban goes through, NQDC plans have enough flexibility to keep some kind of retention measures should an employee breach company policy or leave early.

“An NQDC plan can typically be structured to meet an employer’s goals while still complying with other applicable laws,” she says. 

Tony Greene, senior vice president of business development benefits for NFP, says the firm does not recommend noncompete clauses in NQDCs as it is a “contentious issue and expensive to try and enforce.”

NFP, which is an independent provider of NQDC compensation and consulting services, more often sees forfeiture provisions in supplemental executive retirement plans – sometimes called “golden handcuffs” – as related to future payments promised by the employer. These plans, however, more commonly use vesting schedules as a retention strategy, he says. Overall, Greene sees a ban on noncompete clauses as a good development for employee benefits.

“For the deferred compensation world it’s actually going to be a boon because it’s going to remove one of the sticks, and employers will need to focus on carrots,” he says. “There is a lot you can do in vesting schedules, and a lot you can do with discretionary bonus programs. This would put a bigger premium on design of the programs, which is probably a good thing for all parties involved.”

The Washington D.C.-based PSCA said NQDC interest is primarily driven by the desire to offer competitive benefit packages, with 87.9% of respondents naming it as a top motivation. Another 83.6% of respondents marked retaining eligible employees as a driver to offer NQDCs.

Thirty percent of companies surveyed that offer a NQDC plan use it to help eligible employees raise their income replacement ratio, and 30% offer it to allow highly compensated employees to defer the same portion of income as other workers, the PSCA found.

The survey also found that more than three-quarters (77.3%) of employers make contributions to their employees’ NQDC plans. Almost one in five employers (19.7%) note that participation in their NQDC plan by employees has increased compared to a year ago.

On average, 5.6% of employees are eligible to participate in an NQDC plan among those companies surveyed. More than two-thirds of employers use job position/title as the main criteria for NQDC plan eligibility.

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