The 2022 M&A Outlook: Bumper or Bust?

Experts foresee strong interest in retirement industry merger and acquisition deals continuing next year, but firms may have more difficulty securing top talent as the number of transactions mounts.
PA-112421-MA Deal Outlook_Patrick Edell-web

Art by Patrick Edell


The rapid pace of advisory business merger and acquisition (M&A) deals will continue in 2022, experts say.

“The pressures of COVID-19, and the potential change in the capital-gains tax rate, have really driven the outsized amount of activity we’ve seen this year,” says Wendy Leung, senior consultant at Diamond Consultants, a recruiting and business consulting firm for financial advisers, located in Morristown, New Jersey. “At the same time, we’ve known for a number of years that there is an aging adviser population in need of a succession plan, and that is still a factor. There is also a ton of capital coming into the advisory M&A space: We see more private equity [PE] firms now interested in making acquisitions, for example.”

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Leung says 2021 may end up clocking a peak in the number of deals, “but there’s still a ton of interest” heading into the new year.

Retirement Consolidation Dynamics

Dick Darian, founding partner of retirement industry M&A consulting firm Wise Rhino Group, based in Charleston, South Carolina, says the retirement advisory market closed 28 deals in 2019 and 32 in 2020. He expects 65 to 70 transactions to close in 2021—a little more than double the previous year’s tally.  

“We think that next year will be at a similar pace,” he says.

“There are still 750 advisory firms we track that are big enough and talented enough to be acquired,” Darian suggests. Wise Rhino looks at firms with strong retirement plan advisory capabilities and at least $1 million in annual revenue, he says. Despite a lot of acquisitions taking place over the past couple of years, he notes that 80% to 85% of the specialist firms are still left.

“But, as aggregators fill up their ‘dance cards,’ the acquisitions will eventually slow down,” he predicts.

 Similarly, Jeremy Holly, chief development and integration officer at SageView Advisory Group in Newport Beach, California, says the retirement industry consolidation is likely in its “later innings,” but it remains strong. “It is more mature than the consolidation on the wealth management side, but there are some reasons why we will see the flurry of activity continue for this year, and the year after,” he says.

On the one hand, advisers are realizing their firms can get high valuations in the current market, and it goes without saying that they want to maximize the monetary value of their businesses.

“They still want to grow, and when they sell, they also get access to additional leads and cross-selling opportunities with the acquirer’s existing clients, which can help them grow organically,” Holly says.

Rick Shoff, managing director of the adviser group at CAPTRUST, in Doylestown, Pennsylvania, anticipates the market environment will continue to allow his firm to make steady acquisitions.

“We grow in two ways,” he says. “The main way is that we go out and bring on new clients. The other is that we do acquisitions as an accelerant. For us, acquisitions are really a ‘talent grab.’ Continuing to do acquisitions is an important part of our strategy. Ideally, we’re looking for practices with $10 million of annual revenue or more. We would look at firms doing $3 million to $5 million, if we think they have a lot of upside.”

The drive for scale likely will help propel the consolidation to continue into the foreseeable future, predicts Vince Morris, president of OneDigital’s retirement and wealth division, based in Atlanta.

“There’s also a convergence of health, wealth and retirement,” he says. “What we’re positioning ourselves to do is be that business-strategy consultant for employers, to bring teams to the table to solve workforce issues for an employer.”

At some point, the acquisition pace will slow for retirement plan specialist businesses, in part because the firms are part of a niche market, Morris says.

“There’s really a finite amount of great-quality retirement teams,” he says. “If you look at wealth management, there are approximately 13,000 RIAs [registered investment advisers]. Even with the consolidation in the wealth management space—there are a couple-hundred acquisition deals a year—it’s still an ever-expanding universe. The retirement side of M&A is definitely more mature.”

Major acquirers likely will begin to pick up wealth management-focused advisory practices at a much faster pace, Darian anticipates. He foresees the intensified merging of a service offering with individualized retirement advice and individualized wealth management advice.

“The acquirers realize that the way to build this business is going to be by engaging the participant beyond the plan,” he says. “For every dollar a participant has in the plan, there is probably an average of $5 to $7 in assets that person has outside the plan.”

Wealth Management Deals

Having a service offering that incorporates both individualized retirement advice and individualized wealth management advice is an important part of CAPTRUST’s strategy, Shoff says. CAPTRUST wants to be in the top 35 metro markets in the United States with that dual-services offering, as an institutional adviser helping employees with their holistic financial lives. It already is doing this in many markets, he says, with different specialist teams offering the two types of advice.

“We think the two services are complementary. We’ve always done both, but we’ve probably doubled or tripled down on it,” Shoff says. “Moving forward, we will do more wealth management acquisitions than retirement acquisitions, and that’s a numbers game. There are so many more wealth management advisory practices out there than retirement advisory practices.”

SageView also anticipates picking up the pace of its wealth management acquisitions. Holly says the firm’s move into wealth management came after its retirement specialist advisers were frequently asked by plan sponsors and participants to help them with their individual financial needs. “We’re looking at the opportunity to fully engage with our plan sponsors and their participants and to scale that business,” he adds.

SageView plans to do that with separate retirement specialist and wealth management specialist teams, Holly says, rather than one advisory team offering both types of advice. That likely means it will pursue a considerable number of wealth management practice acquisitions. “We’re going to need a lot of wealth management advisers to support all of our retirement plan clients,” he says.

“Buyers are really looking for firms that ideally have the fewest number of restrictions attached to them: They are RIAs, and they are not under a broker/dealer [B/D] umbrella,” Leung says. “They also are looking for businesses that are mostly fee-based, that focus on higher-net-worth clients and that are in growth mode. And buyers are looking for firms that have developed a next generation of talent, so that they don’t have the ‘key man risk’ of one principal adviser who is in charge of all the top client relationships.”

Moving From Words to Actions on Diversity, Equity and Inclusion

Adviser industry professionals tasked with addressing the serious lack of diversity and inclusion in their field say the events of the past few years have helped supercharge efforts to solve a longstanding problem.

Art by Karlotta Freier


Back in June 2019, Mercer published an in-depth study called “Bridging the Diversity Gap,” in which its experts analyzed the question of how to build better African American and Latino talent pipelines for the financial services industry.

The analysis was conducted in partnership with the Financial Services Pipeline (FSP) Initiative, an advocacy organization founded in 2013 by a group of Chicago-based financial institutions that joined forces to address the lack of diversity in the financial services industry—both within Chicago and across the United States. In founding the FSP, the member institutions were concerned that the representation of African American and Latino professionals within the industry had not improved over the previous five years, despite the companies’ diversity and inclusion (D&I) efforts.

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Understanding that the lack of diversity could have a negative impact on the competitiveness (and equity) of the Chicago region, they were convinced that they needed to take an alternative course of collective action. Indeed, their baseline projection was that the representation of African American and Latino talent at leadership levels would barely improve over the next five-year period if no changes occurred in rates of hire, promotion or exit. Troublingly, the trajectory in the fourth and fifth years was one of declining diversity at senior leadership levels. The member institutions determined that without a significant redirect, the staff and leadership of financial services firms would continue to be overwhelmingly white and male.  

A year later, in June 2020, the economic and social trajectory of the United States—and the world—had been upended by the COVID-19 pandemic. The emergence of the pandemic sent shockwaves through the global economy, and, in ways both linked to and distinct from it, the pressures of 2020 and 2021 sparked an intense focus on systemic racial injustice and gender inequality.

All in all, the economic and social outlook heading into 2022 has changed massively relative to the FPS’s vantage point in June 2019. As such, the significant change in baseline conditions in which the U.S. financial services system operates raises the question of whether the FSP’s relatively pessimistic assumptions about the future of D&I in the financial services space may end up missing the mark.

A Chance to Reset

Dawn Harris, director of diversity and inclusion for the Certified Financial Planner (CFP) Board’s Center for Financial Planning in Washington, D.C., says there is simply no question that the events of the past two years have caused a fundamental rethinking within the industry regarding the importance of improving diversity and inclusion.

“The D&I topic has definitely been elevated in the past year or 18 months, and, importantly, there is a targeted and intentional focus on making sure we are moving beyond discussions about D&I,” Harris says. “There is a sense that we are moving toward real action with respect to improving representation in our industry.”

Harris also points to an emerging industry-wide acknowledgement of the point the FSP was trying to advocate—that addressing D&I is not something any single firm or leader can do alone.

“Real progress is going to come from the alignment of strategic industry partnerships and from the coming together of many organizations and associations,” Harris says.

Harris notes that the CFP Board Center for Financial Planning this month announced it will join the Financial Alliance for Racial Equity (FARE) Coalition, a partnership between financial services organizations, industry associations and historically Black colleges and universities (HBCUs). FARE was formed late last year by a group of financial services firms and HBCUs to address the barriers many Black advisers and financial professionals face when entering the field. Among its first initiatives, in spring 2022, FARE will fund and launch a scholarship program specifically aimed at removing financial barriers for people of color to earn the CFP certification.

Harris says FARE’s executive members come together regularly to track progress on its mission and vision. In addition to Nationwide Financial, FARE members include Advisor Group, the American College of Financial Services, Capital Group, the Defined Contribution Institutional Investment Association (DCIIA), the Employee Benefit Research Institute (EBRI), Franklin Templeton, Huntington Bank, M Financial Group, Miami Life, Morgan Stanley and NFP. HBCUs in the alliance are Hampton University, Howard University, Lincoln University, Virginia State University, Virginia Union University and Winston-Salem State University.

“I am a graduate of an HBCU, so I am personally so excited to get their history and their perspective onboard,” Harris says. “It is so important to get these different points of view in the room, so we can all learn from others’ perspectives and experiences. We are building out some very powerful initiatives.”

Harris says she believes the definition and tracking of key metrics will be central to making progress.

“Currently, in the U.S., only about 4% of our CFP professionals are Black or Latino—despite the basic fact that these groups together make up nearly a third of the U.S. population,” Harris says. “Currently, women make up only 23% of CFP professionals. So that’s the starting point, and the goal must be to ensure our membership is more representational of the U.S. population as a whole.”

Harris says the numbers are not where she wants them to be yet, but since just 2019, the CFP Board has seen its minority group representation increase substantially on a percentage basis.

“We are finding success, I believe,” Harris says.

The Importance of Financial Services

Morgan Stanley’s 2021 “Investor Pulse Poll” found that diverse groups of high-net-worth investors and entrepreneurs believe the financial services industry is the best positioned to impact racial inequality in the United States.

Margaret Flynn-Martin, head of the relationship management group at Morgan Stanley Wealth Management in Purchase, New York, says she agrees wholeheartedly with that viewpoint. She also agrees with Harris’ perspective that a single firm or leader can’t improve diversity and inclusion in the financial services industry on their own.

“At last year’s virtual Morgan Stanley summit meeting, our leadership team really challenged the staff and managers to do something powerful and meaningful to address the lack of industry diversity,” Flynn-Martin recalls. “In response, we stated building out the framework for what we now call the ‘Equity Collective,’ which was just launched formally in mid-November.”

As Flynn-Martin explains, the Equity Collective is composed of 25 members: American Century Investments, BlackRock, BNY Mellon Investment Management, Columbia Threadneedle Investments, Diffractive Managers Group, DWS, First Eagle Investment Management, Franklin Templeton, FS Investments, Goldman Sachs Asset Management, Hartford Funds, Invesco, Janus Henderson Investors, John Hancock Investment Management, Lazard Asset Management, Macquarie Asset Management, Morgan Stanley Investment Management, Natixis Investment Managers, New York Life Investments, Nuveen, PGIM Investments, PIMCO, Putnam Investments, T. Rowe Price and Virtus Investment Partners.

Flynn-Martin says the Equity Collective’s efforts are going to be guided by research and the experiences of its members. For example, she cites a Mercer study that concluded that Black and Latino students’ interest in working in financial services “crystallizes” during high school, while white students more often find an interest in the field during their college years. For that reason, the Equity Collective has established three key sponsorships to generate an interest in finance in young people of different ages—with the Boys & Girls Clubs of America, Team IMPACT and HIVE Diversity.

With a focus on creating awareness and demystifying financial service career opportunities in order to break barriers while reaching future motivated leaders where they are, the Equity Collective will dedicate resources to Boys & Girls Clubs of America’s CareerLaunch, a job-readiness and career launch program with the ability to reach 4.6 million young people between 13 and 18 years old. The work with Team IMPACT will focus on supporting college athletes as they grow into empathetic leaders through community engagement. In working with virtual recruiting platform HIVE Diversity, Equity Collective members will engage with next-generation talent representing a range of diverse backgrounds and experiences; HIVE focuses on internship and entry-level placement opportunities, as well as building earlier and more equitable pipelines through virtual programming to expose all candidates to careers that exist within the industry.

“We are dedicated to increasing access for young talent and proactively raising awareness about the incredible opportunities in our field,” Flynn-Martin says. “Finding established organizations to do that with, in order to move with intention and speed, was one of our primary goals in establishing the Equity Collective. There is no doubt in my mind that pulling together is the best way to magnify the impact of these individual groups.”

What 2022 and Beyond Will Bring

Rosalyn Brown, a regional director at Newport Group in the Washington, D.C. area, recently accepted a position on the 2022 WIPN [WE Inspire. Promote. Network.] Board, taking on leadership of the organization’s diversity, equity and inclusion (DE&I) efforts. Brown, who has been engaged with WIPN for several years, says she is humbled and inspired by the opportunity to work as a WIPN leader on an incredibly important topic at an incredibly important time.

“The situation of the COVID-19 pandemic has had so many negative implications, but one positive impact was that WIPN, like so many other organizations, had a moment to pause and look in the mirror,” Brown says. “One outcome of this reflection was a new commitment to elevate all women in the retirement plan and advisory industry—not just the leadership but also the young people and the career staffers. We realized there are so many women in financial services who can’t just leave the office and go a networking lunch. The juniors and analysts can’t always go to events.”

She says this realization helped to inspire WIPN’s research work on the twin topics of advocacy and mentorship. Among the early findings is that, when it comes to addressing diversity gaps, mentors are like gurus—they are critical sources of information and inspiration. But a true workplace “advocate” or “sponsor” can do a lot more to help people from underrepresented groups succeed in the financial services industry by using their influence to support someone even when they’re not in the room.

According to WIPN survey data, mentorships and sponsorships are both valuable, but women agree that a sponsor is more likely to help with advancement than a mentor (64% and 47%, respectively). The value of having a mentor or sponsor is recognized by many—as not having one is cited among the top five barriers to success—but only 17% of respondents feel they have a sponsor, though this increases to 42% of women with a mentor. The lack of mentors and sponsors is a particular concern among women of color, as almost a quarter cite the lack of a mentor/sponsor as a barrier to career growth. Additionally, the data shows that a significantly higher proportion of women of color feel excluded from formal and informal networks at work as compared with white women.

“The dynamics of the COVID-19 pandemic have really hit women and communities of color hard,” Brown says. “We have survey data showing one in five women of color in this industry have considered leaving the industry, due to lack of opportunity, and the stresses of the pandemic have only increased the problem. Fortunately, companies are finally starting to turn a corner and realize that if their women or their diverse talent is underpaid in relation to their peers, why would they stay? If there is no trajectory for advancement, then why would they stay?”

Brown says the industry is waking up to the realization that statements from leadership are not enough anymore.

“The companies that will succeed in the future are those that are hearing the voices of all their employees,” Brown says. “The advisory industry has a lot to lose if we don’t step up. If you are in a leadership position and you walk the floors of your firm, you will find people of color who have been with you as long as anyone else and who are as skilled as anyone else. To say that the talent doesn’t exist today—that’s just not true and it’s not accurate. The talent is there, they just aren’t getting promoted. They get stuck in entry-level positions because they are overlooked.”

Brown says change will only come when today’s leaders are willing and able to see leadership qualities in people of diverse backgrounds, even when they don’t have a ton of leadership experience on paper.

“If you don’t change your requirements and expectations, you won’t be making progress,” she warns. “An important part of this, which is actionable right now, is not giving people informal roles or letting them punch above the weight of their title.”

The structure of early career compensation is another a big issue.

“Just consider the topic of unpaid internships,” Brown says. “Some of the best internships that lead into this space are unpaid. A person who is not of family means so often simply is shut out of these opportunities. Compensation structures are a primary reason why people leave this industry. It’s hard for someone to say, ‘Yes, I’m willing to take this upfront pay cut with no guarantees in the future.’”

Overall, Brown says, she is optimistic that meaningful progress is around the corner.

“One reason I am optimistic is that workers are changing, and how they choose to work is changing,” Brown says. “In order for companies to be profitable and remain successful, they have to address this stuff, especially in the retirement industry. The organizations that are coming out on top are already doing something in this space.”

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