Fee Compression Is Old News for Recordkeepers, Fund Managers

Fee compression hit recordkeepers first, then asset managers. Advisers are next, experts agree, but they can learn some important lessons from their service provider partners.

Patrick Murphy, CEO of John Hancock Retirement, recently sat down with PLANADVISER for a wide-ranging discussion about the retirement planning and advice industry.

The occasion for the interview was John Hancock’s release of the 2019 Financial Stress Survey, which puts a price tag on workplace financial stress and shows more than half of employees worry at least once a week about personal finances while on the job, causing distraction and loss of productivity.

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During the conversation, Murphy also talked about the role of retirement plan specialist advisers, zooming into the critical and evolving topic of fee compression. In short, he encourages advisers to study the history of recordkeeper fee compression and the significant merger and acquisition (M&A) activity that has characterized the space in recent years. He expects the advisory industry will follow a similar pattern, noting the rush of acquisitions made this year by Hub International as a case in point.

“Advisers today face some similar challenges to recordkeepers,” Murphy says. As a result, they should be “thinking about scaling their services efficiently, finding the best ways to value and communicate their services, and selecting which markets to focus on. The general story in this industry has been that fee compression hit recordkeepers first, then the investment managers, with the move to passive funds and exchange-traded funds. Now, the trend is hitting advisers.”

Plan sponsors’ changing behaviors are making advisers work harder and add more services, Murphy says, leading to a decrease in firms’ net revenue. At the same time, transparency is improving, consumers are becoming more cost-conscious and the advice industry is transitioning to a more traditional professional service model—one that resembles the legal or accounting professions more than a sales-based profession. 

While talking through these issues with advisers, Murphy says, he gets two common questions: “How do we make our lives easier while clients are demanding more and more for the same fee? And, how do we use technology to serve all our customers at scale?” Part of John Hancock’s answer, Murphy says, has been the creation of a new adviser managed account program, built in collaboration with Morningstar.

“Advisers are very excited about this opportunity,” Murphy explains. “Previously, we have offered managed accounts where Morningstar was providing the models or our own internal investment management team was providing models. Now, we are rolling out the ability for advisers to provide the investment models for their retirement plan clients, with the thinking being that they can be tailored for individual plan populations.”

Murphy adds that advisers want to be able to offer such services, but they have neither the expertise nor the resources to develop the required technology infrastructure. “And so, we are working with advisers to create a solution that is very scalable and presents a means for them to cost effectively deliver personalized portfolio services to everyone they want to,” he says. “This is the type of solution that will become increasingly important to advisers’ businesses moving forward, we expect.”

Taking a step back and reflecting on some 30 years of industry experience, Murphy says the future is about “high-value services, not just high-touch.”

“The old way we all grew up talking about this business was about the importance of high-touch services,” he reflects. “Today, we are learning that what really matters is high-value service. Valuable service doesn’t just mean sitting down right in front of somebody to talk about investments once or twice a year. Sure, that’s important in some cases, but it’s not enough.”

Murphy says recordkeepers have learned that they can have an important influence on a participant through well-timed digital outreach and by providing them simple, digitally enabled next steps. He says advisers can and must take the same lessons to heart.

“We must understand that consumer expectations have shifted,” he says. “People aren’t judging their retirement plan experience against other retirement plans. They aren’t judging advisers against one another. No, they are judging the quality of service and the ease of use against entities like Netflix or Google, or the next greatest application on their phone. We all have to adapt to this.”

Lessons from Asset Managers

The recently published fourth quarter 2019 issue of The Cerulli Edge – U.S. Institutional Edition, details the impact of fee compression on asset managers’ risk budgets, pricing structures and product strategies. While not speaking directly to the adviser audience, the report offers some food for thought in terms of how different fund managers are responding to fee compression.

According to Cerulli, during the past three years, the growth of institutional assets under management in passively managed strategies has outpaced those of actively managed options, which is indicative of institutions’ desire to cut costs by paying lower management fees. This has led to many active managers experiencing extensive fee compression, Cerulli finds, and in response, asset managers have implemented various strategies, including more aggressive fee negotiation and internal pricing structure optimization.

“Managers increasingly rely on fee negotiation in order to attract new assets and retain current assets,” explains Chris Swansey, an analyst at Cerulli. “Because many institutions are under pressure to meet challenging investment goals, and most institutional pricing is based on negotiation, they often have an incentive to cut costs by bringing down fees.”

Asset managers employ several different strategies when handling fee negotiations. For large asset managers, the vast majority will employ a pricing committee, which typically includes department heads from the institutional sales, finance, investment and legal teams.

“This kind of structure has the potential to boost synergies between teams, aid in thoughtful decision making, and increase transparency,” Swansey says. “However, these committees can become burdened by the number of discounting discussions, and the process of going through a committee can take longer than some quick pricing negotiation turn-around times.”

Many smaller firms that do not use a committee give their direct sales professionals the flexibility to offer a standard pre-approved discount, Cerulli finds. If a discount is required beyond that limit, the request is escalated to one or two key leaders within the firm.

Like on the advisory side, Cerulli finds the discounting strategy that managers employ is typically indicative of the manager’s pricing philosophy.

“Smaller managers that are eager to gain business and lack the resources for frequent committee meetings will employ a method that allows them to act fast,” Swansey says.

New Tactics Needed for a Low-Rate World

Investors must rethink “safe havens” in their portfolio now that bonds simply can’t offer the same combination of portfolio protection and positive income.

J.P. Morgan Asset Management has published its 2020 Long-Term Capital Markets Assumptions report, with a focus this year on exploring the complexities of late-cycle investing in an environment of ultra-low bond yields.

During a media roundtable held in New York to unveil the new report, John Bilton, head of global multi-asset strategy, highlighted the impact of trade uncertainty between the world’s economic superpowers and a recent reversal in the trajectory of global monetary policy.

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“In an environment of very low bond yields, investors must reassess how to design the optimal portfolio, as the tradeoff is no longer between foregone risky asset returns and reduced portfolio risks—but is instead between a zero or even negative return in exchange for that risk reduction,” Bilton said.

David Kelly, chief global strategist for J.P. Morgan Asset Management, noted that global growth expectations for the 10 to 15 year time horizon remain relatively modest. He cited such headwinds to growth as aging populations in developed economies, and noted that one important tailwind for stronger-than-expected growth could be a technology-driven boost to productivity. Kelly noted that over the last year, the economic cycle matured even further, becoming the longest U.S. expansion on record and creating a sense of the “new abnormal.”

“Portfolio flexibility remains key for investors looking to manage cycle uncertainty,” Kelly said, “with those seeking higher returns continuing to be drawn to private markets and other alternatives as both a diversifier and a source of excess returns.”

Pulkit Sharma, head of investment strategy and solutions at J.P. Morgan Alternatives Solutions Group, emphasized the growing importance of alternative investments, and particularly private equity, for institutional investors.

At a high level, the trio said they expect global growth to average about 2.3% over the next 10 to 15 years, down 20 basis points from last year’s projection. The developed market forecast remains unchanged at 1.5%, while emerging market forecasts have been trimmed 35 basis points to 3.9%. Population aging is broadly to blame for the lower forecasts for global growth, the J.P. Morgan experts explained.

Projections for global inflation also remain low, and global monetary policy is expected to remain “extremely accommodative” throughout this cycle and well into the next one—leading to a significant delay in rate normalization. That fact, in combination with much lower starting yields and a modest cut to the firm’s equilibrium yield estimates, adds up to a sharp fall in projected fixed income returns—in some cases taking them negative over the forecast horizon.

Suggesting ways investors can address this muddle-through outlook, the J.P. Morgan team pointed to the alternative investments and private equity space as a developing opportunity set. They noted the 10 to 15 year aggregate private equity return forecast has been raised 55 basis points to 8.80%.

“Private equity continues to be attractive to those investors looking for return uplift, as well as those seeking more specific exposure to technology themes,” Sharma said. “This year we forecast that core U.S. real estate returns, levered and net of fees, will average 5.80% over the next 10 to 15 years. Casting the net more widely, forecast returns from global real assets and infrastructure have held up remarkably well, and given the resilience of their cash flows, they may even serve as a proxy for duration in portfolios with limited short-run liquidity demands.”

The J.P. Morgan leaders said they hope and expect that, over time, investors in defined contribution (DC) plans will gain greater access to alternatives, real assets and private equity placements. The 2020 report notes that aversion to real estate in particular seems to stem from the central role overvalued property markets played in triggering the global financial crisis back in 2008. But, the report argues, a longer-run analysis of through-cycle real estate returns suggests that the global financial crisis was an anomaly and that real estate returns generally remain robust throughout the cycle.

“This year, we forecast that core U.S. real estate returns will average 5.8% over the next 10 to 15 years, withe some way ahead of the returns available from a balanced 60/40 stock/bond portfolio,” Sharma noted.

Overall, the 2020 long-term capital market assumptions forecast modest growth and contained inflation, and they recognize the challenges to portfolio construction that zero and negative bond yields present. The environment is complicating the late-cycle playbook for those investors with an eye on tactical asset allocation. There are bright spots, but even then, investors need to appreciate the tradeoffs implicitly required to capture enhanced returns. Credit offers sizable return pickup over sovereign bonds, but with large drawdown risk when the economy turns; real estate returns are attractive, as are those in private equity, but illiquidity is a consideration; and emerging markets returns are forecast well above developed market returns in most assets, but in the short run, the persistence of trade uncertainty will remain a headwind.

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