Between
1991 and 2014, the percentage of workers indicating that they planned on
working past age 65 increased from 11% to 33%, but for many, these later retirement plans are not actually achieved, a research report from the Center for Retirement Research at Boston College
notes.
For
example, in the Health and Retirement Study’s (HRS) initial cohort, roughly 37%
of those working at age 58 retired earlier than they had planned.
The
report notes that past research has identified several potential causes of earlier-than-planned
retirement, including poor health, changes in marital and spousal employment
status, and changes in retirement wealth. Yet, because these prior studies tend
to focus on at most a few of these shocks, rather than all of these factors
together, which factor is most important in determining earlier-than-planned retirement
is unclear.
In
addition, little is known about the interaction between health deterioration
and retiree health insurance, despite this issue’s importance in predicting the
effect of the Affordable Care Act (ACA) on the timing of retirement. If health
insurance outside of employment allows workers to respond to deteriorating
health by retiring before they planned, then the ACA, by offering all employees
a health insurance option outside employment, may encourage earlier-than-planned
retirement.
The
researchers used data from the HRS to estimate a model of early retirement and determine
the relative importance of four different sets of “shocks” that may induce someone
to deviate from their retirement plans.
NEXT: Who is more likely to retire earlier than
planned?
The
research found individuals who lose their jobs through a layoff or business
closing are 27.6 percentage points more likely to retire early than other
workers. But this result holds only for individuals who do not find re-employment.
Switching jobs—regardless of whether the initial change occurred voluntarily—actually
decreases the likelihood that workers retire earlier than planned. Workers who
change employers are 6.8 percentage points less likely to retire earlier than planned.
The
retirement of a spouse before the worker planned to retire is correlated with a
4.2 percentage-point increase in the likelihood of retiring early. Having a
parent move in has a large impact on the probability of retiring early,
increasing it by approximately 12.1 percentage points.
Individuals
with pensions are less likely to retire early than other individuals. Having a
defined benefit or defined contribution pension plan at one’s current job make
it significantly less likely to retire earlier than planned. This result may be
due to better work conditions or the desire to continue accruing benefits, the
researchers say. In addition, the research found more educated workers are less
likely than high school dropouts to retire early.
Workers
experiencing health shocks are significantly more likely to retire early than
others, and each additional health condition a person has at their planning age
is associated with a 3.3 percentage-point increase in the probability of early
retirement, according to the research. Health is the most important driver of
early retirement.
Workers
with retiree health insurance are slightly more likely to respond to health
shocks by retiring early, but because the estimate is statistically
insignificant, more research is needed to establish whether the ACA will induce
workers with deteriorating health to retire earlier.
The research report, “What
Causes Workers to Retire Before They Plan?” may be downloaded from here.
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Automatic
enrollment is not as simple as just deciding to do it and doing it.
Several decisions need to be made and some processes need to be
discussed
before implementation.
According
to J.J. McKinney, chief operations officer at Retirement Strategies, Inc. in
Augusta, Georgia, plan sponsors must decide who to auto enroll, what the
default participant deferral percentage will be, whether to also automatically
escalate participant deferrals, what eligibility requirements to use and
whether and how much to match participant deferrals. Everyone, including
payroll, must understand the logistics, and there should be a discussion about
how to roll out automatic enrollment.
For plan advisers, auto enrollment should be somewhere front of mind in
plan design discussions with clients that have not adopted it, McKinney says.
Following compliance testing is a good time to evaluate whether a client is a
good candidate for auto enrollment and to talk about getting more employees to
save or to save more.
Plan
sponsors with high employee turnover or cost concerns about the financial
impact of matching contributions may see automatic enrollment as an
unattractive feature, says State Street Global Advisors (SSgA) Global Head of
Defined Contribution Fredrik Axsater. But, SSgA is a strong believer in
automaticity for all plans.
Axsater
explains that in the defined contribution (DC) plan ecosystem there are three
pillars: participation, adequate savings and optimal investing. Plans with auto
enrollment usually see participation rates north of 90%; automatic enrollment
and automatic escalation can ensure participants are saving at rates sufficient
to meet their objectives; and with auto enrollment, more participants end up
investing in the default investment option, which is usually a better portfolio
than they would pick for themselves.
Making
the right design decisions can help make auto enrollment work even for plan
sponsors with high turnover or cost concerns.
NEXT: Addressing employee turnover and match
costs
Turnover
is important to consider because plan sponsors do not want small balances left
to clean up in their plans, McKinney tells PLANADVISER.
According
to McKinney, when auto enrollment was making a comeback after passage of the
Pension Protection Act, many consultants were recommending plan sponsors
automatically enroll participants as of their dates of hire, with the rationale
that employees will not get used to a higher amount in their paychecks that
suddenly drops when they enter the plan. But, he points out, when you look at
the way health benefits are offered, employees usually see a drop in their
paychecks once they are eligible, so plan sponsors should think of it in that
way.
He
says consultants and employers should look at how long people tend to stick
around; employers should know that type of information. For example, an
employer may notice that once employees pass the 90-day mark, they tend to
stay with the company for three years or longer. This is when eligibility
requirement decisions will help; perhaps the employer will want to require
employees be age 21 and have six months of service before they are
automatically enrolled in the retirement plan.
As
for matching employee deferrals, automatic enrollment is useful to get
employees into the plan when there is no match incentive. But, McKinney argues
that a closer look may find employers that think they can’t afford to match
deferrals can afford something. Sometimes they don’t know their options, he
says, and when they’re asked if they can afford a 100% tax-deductible
contribution in any amount and explore the numbers, they may find a small
contribution that doesn’t cut much into the bottom line is an affordable
incentive. “Even a small match goes a long way in good will,” McKinney states.
NEXT: Who to auto enroll and at how much
Axsater
notes that most plan sponsors add auto enrollment only for new participants,
but he argues this is not how it needs to be. “We try to challenge clients to
think about auto enrolling existing employees, and more now are doing it for the
entire population, giving the benefit to all employees. We hope to see more plan
sponsors doing so in the future.” It is also a great equalizer across genders,
salary levels and age groups, he tells PLANADVISER.
McKinney
agrees, saying auto enrollment is an enhanced benefit, not just a plan feature.
“If you only do it for new employees, you’re not creating a culture around this.
And, you’re adding a plan enhancement, but leaving out 90% of employees. The
idea is to get everybody not in the plan or not deferring up to the default percentage
to see it’s right to save at that level,” he says.
Plan
sponsors should also consider whether they want to auto enroll employees every
year. Making people who opt out continue to do so, or bumping up participants who
lowered their savings from the default rate, is gaining popularity as employers
want to encourage retirement savings, according to McKinney.
Plan
sponsors should frame their automatic enrollment decisions with the end
goal, Axsater says. Objectives may include helping participants achieve a high
income replacement so they can retire when they want to. “Automatic enrollment
is one of the most powerful tools to aid participants.”
With
this mindset, pieces of the puzzle start falling into place, according to
Axsater. For example, if the objective of the DC plan is to supplement a
defined benefit (DB) plan, considering the DB benefit and taking into account
Social Security helps determine the default level to set for auto enrollment.
Axsater
notes that it takes more to retire today than it used to, and if an employee saves
11% over her career, it generates a 44% income replacement. SSgA sees many plan
sponsors using a higher default setting and using automatic escalation. The
match should also be considered for employees’ total savings, and the default
deferral rate should maximize the match.
NEXT: A few more considerations
Discrimination
testing issues may also come into play in auto enrollment decisions. It can get
complex, but advisers can help plan sponsors, McKinney says.
They need to look at the results of average deferral percentage (ADP) testing
two or three years before auto enrollment and move the deferral dial up to see
what will help them pass the test.
Auto
enrolling everyone at 3% may help. But, if that level doesn’t do enough, it still
may not have to be a steep progression for the plan sponsor. For example,
McKinney says, plan sponsors can look at what they need to do to move up the
default for just 70% of those not contributing or not contributing enough to pass
the test. That
approach also will help in the decision about how to implement auto enroll; to just
new employees or re-enrolling all employees.
Decisions
about automatic escalation of participant deferrals are going to be part of the
logistics discussion, McKinney says. What communications are needed to be able
to facilitate auto increase? According to McKinney, different vendors may
provide reporting capabilities, but getting auto escalation to work falls more
on the plan sponsor and payroll departments.
They need to decide
what will work best to have some degree of confidence they won’t miss somebody;
should everyone be auto increased at the same time, or should participants be auto
increased at their annual anniversary date, for example. And, while plan
sponsors can decide what auto escalation cap is right for plan participants,
McKinney notes that if plan sponsors can get participants to a combined savings
of 15% of pay, including match, participants will have a very good possibility
of replacing meaningful income in retirement.