Risk Questions on Multiemployer Plans

When you take on investment risk, you know returns could be high or low. But what that means for a multiemployer pension plan is different than for a single-employer plan.

A single-employer plan can manage funding deficits or surpluses, in part, by changing contributions. In a multiemployer plan, members expect contributions to be fairly stable, it is not so easy to increase them, and often, benefit accruals are cut to deal with deficits, explains Cameron McNeill, senior vice president and Canadian business leader at Segal Consulting in Toronto. But, the risk is not symmetrical, McNeill tells PLANADVISER. “If there’s a surplus, plans could augment benefits, but most won’t do that because they want some margin, or cushion, against [investment] volatility.”

“If your asset allocation has a 50% chance of leading to benefit cuts and a 5% chance of leading to enhancements, would you see that as a reasonable risk?” McNeill queries in a blog post on Segal Canada’s website. There is no standard for how much surplus a plan must have before it is large enough to convert to benefit improvements, he says. Multiemployer pension plan trustees need to be aware of the extent to which they are taking risk that is unlikely to be rewarded.

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Step one is to understand the actual chance of going above or below return expectations, according to McNeill. He says trustees need modeling to know this, and it doesn’t have to be a complex model. They can then rethink their investment and funding strategy accordingly. McNeill contends plans can take some risk off table without impacting their actuarial valuations by replacing funds that take on higher risk, with similar-return funds that take on lower risk.

He adds that trustees also need to understand how to communicate with members to change their expectations for contribution and benefit levels. He points out he does not trumpet cutting benefit accruals. “This can result in some [participants] working longer. It is best [for the plan] to move ahead knowing when folks will retire, and what [liabilities] to expect.”

McNeill believes multiemployer plans are a good pension vehicle; they nicely share risk between members and the plan itself. “But you cannot ignore what risks are there, they have to be managed and communicated properly,” he concludes.

Consultants Predict Strong OCIO Growth

Financial professionals working as outsourced chief investment officers (OCIOs) expect growing demand from non-pension clients in the coming years.

There are many reasons more institutional investors and corporations implement an OCIO mandate, says a study from  Cerulli Associates. Institutions frequently cite a lack of internal resources or a greater interest in sharing fiduciary responsibilities. Another reason is the need for faster decision-making and implementation of investment decisions in increasingly complex and fast-moving capital markets.

Cerulli explores demand for OCIO services. In the most recent issue of The Cerulli Edge research report, the analytics firm predicts much of the long-term growth in the OCIO market will come from non-pension clients with less than $500 million in assets.

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“A broader array of institutions with significant pools of assets will increasingly call upon asset managers to take on greater responsibilities, implement more complex strategies, and better align their interests with that of the institution in a more objectives-based approach,” explains Alexi Maravel, associate director at Cerulli. “Asset managers need to consider their level of preparedness to address asset owners besides defined benefit plans.”

Cerulli asserts that managers of all sizes need to evaluate their resources and determine their niche to be well positioned for growth in the OCIO market. The firm expects more interest from clients looking to find risk management, asset management, investment selection and trust services from one provider: an OCIO.

The report finds OCIO assets are hovering around $1 trillion worldwide. While OCIO use is growing, the business is still relatively small compared with institutional consultant hiring activity across other types of mandates. There were 22 OCIO mandates awarded during the first 11 months of 2013, totaling $39.9 billion, compared with 13 mandates totaling $10.3 billion during the same period in 2012. Consultants and dedicated OCIO providers received the majority of those assets, the report shows.

Other key findings in the report include the following:

  • Cerulli contends that customized OCIO service offerings benefit asset managers that have mandates as part of an outsourced relationship. The odds of retaining assets remains higher under a customized arrangement should the institution terminate its OCIO agreement.
  • Consultants polled expect the most significant growth for total portfolio support from nonprofit (71%), health care (43%), Taft-Hartley (46%), and corporate defined benefit (43%) clients. More business is also expected from private defined benefit plans (21%), defined contribution plans (15%), and insurance general accounts (14%).
  • The challenge for investment consultants offering discretionary OCIO services will be moving beyond providing investment advice and making recommendations to actually executing decisions with a proven track record of success.

The report also predicts that during the coming years, the institutional outsourcing trend will continue to evolve and steadily expand. This situation presents opportunities for OCIO providers to gain market share, especially those advisers that can differentiate themselves by establishing a niche to support a particular client need.

More on how to obtain Cerulli’s most recent report, along with its table of contents, is available here.

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