Debt Control Is Key Before and During Retirement

Two-thirds of all investors have been consciously reducing their debt, according to the Wells Fargo/Gallup Investor and Retirement Optimism Index.

Findings from the third quarter Wells Fargo/Gallup Investor and Retirement Optimism Index survey show debt reduction remains a top goal for Americans, both before and after retirement.

The survey finds fully three-quarters of investors have some type of debt, including 83% of non-retired investors and 54% of retired investors. While two-thirds report a concerted effort to cut debt loads, an even larger majority (89%) has taken at least a small action to reduce debt.

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Among investors who carry debt, nearly half (46%) say the amount of debt they are carrying has decreased in the past two years, according to Wells Fargo and Gallup. Another 31% say it has increased and 23% say their debt load has stayed the same. Among all investors, debts most often include either a mortgage (53%), a credit card balance that carries over from month to month (37%), a car loan (35%), a student loan (23%) or another outstanding debt or loan (12%).

In one encouraging sign, seven in 10 investors who say they made an effort to trim debt feel they have been successful in reducing their debt as much as they had hoped. The progress is encouraging, researchers note, especially given that 62% say they intend to make additional major efforts in the future to reduce their debt.

Many of those surveyed (56%) implied their ultimate goal for reducing debt today was achieving a debt-free retirement. Another 36% say this is important but not critical, while 8% say it is “not too important” or “not at all important.” A slight majority (55%) believe it is “very possible” for them to be debt-free in retirement, while 37% say it is somewhat possible and 8% not possible.

Interestingly, Wells Fargo and Gallup find investors with more saved in retirement accounts ($100,000 plus) are likelier to see debt “as a powerful tool” for building wealth, at 20%, versus 6% of those with less saved.

NEXT: Social Security worries abound 

According to Wells Fargo and Gallup, non-retired investors are generally doubtful they will receive their full benefit from Social Security when they retire. A little more than half (52%) say it is not too or not at all likely the system will be able to pay them their full benefit. And while another 31% say it is somewhat likely, just 15% believe it is very likely.

As a result, most non-retirees are not counting on their Social Security benefit to be a major source of income when they retire. Fifty-eight percent say it will be a minor income source and 14% not a source at all. Just 26% expect Social Security to be a major income source for them. This contrasts sharply with current retirees, according to the optimism index, with 42% of current retirees describing their Social Security benefit as a major income source and 37% as a minor source.

Looking to the wider markets, 44% of investors say they would make major adjustments to their investment strategy if interest rates rise. The most common action investors anticipate making is buying more stocks (30%), while just 8% say they would reduce their stock holdings. About a quarter (23%) say they would buy bonds or other fixed income investments, whereas 10% say they would sell these types of instruments.

“In a complex market environment, interest rates changes are yet another factor that can be unsettling to investors,” explains Bob Vorlop, head of products and advice at Wells Fargo Advisors. “One of the most important roles a financial adviser can play is to design portfolios that can meet investors’ objectives under a variety of circumstances.”

Advisers can be a tremendous source of comfort and confidence to investors, he adds.

“Investors found a variety of ways to benefit from the low interest rate environment, but this may be a good time for them to revisit their investment strategies and make sure they’re properly diversified to benefit in a rising rate environment as well,” Vorlop says.

NEXT: Overall optimism is down 

Even before the steep slide in stocks in late August, the Wells Fargo/Gallup Investor and Retirement Optimism Index showed investor confidence slipping 12 points to +58, from its seven-year high of +70 during the previous quarter. The drop in optimism was attributed to non-retirees, whose index score was down 17 points to +53 versus +70 in May. According to Wells Fargo and Gallup, this was driven more by mounting concerns about the economy—particularly the stock market and inflation—rather than their ability to reach personal financial goals. Retiree optimism held steady at +70, similar to +67 in May.

“While investors couldn’t have predicted the timing of the market volatility, the wide market swings in late August underscored the importance of having a diversified portfolio that helps to shield them from the rollercoaster rides that can occur in the stock market from time to time,” Vorlop concludes.

Looking ahead, investors predict the issues most likely to put a drag on performance were taxes (46%), unemployment (43%), and the threat of cyberattacks (42%). Only 20% of investors in August believed China’s economic slowdown was “hurting the investment climate a lot,” while 42% said it was hurting it a little.

Once again the quarterly survey underscores the important role that a written financial plan can play in helping investors meet their financial goals. Just over a third of non-retired investors (36%) say they have a written financial plan, Wells Fargo and Gallup find, and of these 45% are highly confident that their plan is adequately designed to ensure they reach their financial goals. Slightly more retired investors have a written plan (45%), and a somewhat higher share (53%) is highly confident it is adequately designed to achieve their financial goals.

Consistency Is King When It Comes to 401(k) Contributions

Retirement plan participants who consistently contribute show greater balances.

Every year, the Investment Company Institute (ICI) and the Employee Benefit Research Institute (EBRI) update their study on the impact of consistent participation in a 401(k) plan.

The previous update, “What Does Consistent Participation in 401(k) Plans Generate? Changes in 401(k) Account Balances, 2007–2012,” found that defined contribution (DC) accounts at the end of 2012 were rebounding from the financial crisis, and that participants who held steady on contributions ended the period with an average account balance that was 67% higher than the average among all participants in the database.

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The financial crisis of 2008, which substantially ate into 401(k) balances with an average 25.8% plunge, was followed by a gradual rise from 2009 through the end of 2013. Overall, the average balance rose at a compound annual average growth rate of 10.9% from 2007 to 2013, to $148,399 at year-end 2013.

This year’s results, which cover the period 2007 through 2013, saw a median balance among those consistent 401(k) contributors that was more than four times that of all participants at the end of 2013. Between 2012 and 2013, the average 401(k) account balance increased substantially, according to the latest data from EBRI and ICI.

Consistent contributors saw an even greater rate of growth. The median 401(k) account balance for these participants increased at a compound annual average growth rate of 15.8% over the period, to $75,359 at year-end 2013. Several factors—including employer and worker contributions, investment returns, withdrawals, and loans—were responsible for the increase.

Account balances tended to increase with age as well as tenure among the consistent group of participants, the same way as with the rest of the database. The younger the participant or the shorter amount of time in a job, the smaller the account balance tended to be.

NEXT: Account balances rise with age, time on job

Within the group of consistent contributors, 401(k) participants with 10 to 20 years of tenure at year-end 2013 who were older tended to have higher balances than younger ones. Those in their 30s with 10 to 20 years of tenure had an average account balance of $88,298, compared with an average of $141,981 for participants in their 60s with 10 to 20 years of tenure. Among consistent participants in their sixties at year-end 2013, those with five to 10 years of tenure had a lower average 401(k) balance ($92,112) than those with more than 30 years of tenure ($295,747).

Consistent participants in 401(k) plans, on average, held two-thirds of their 401(k) assets in equities, through equity funds, the equity portion of target date and non-target date balanced funds, or company stock. That is similar to the asset allocation of the 26.4 million participants in the entire database.

The research found the following about consistent 401(k) participants:

 

  • More than two in five plan participants in the consistent group had more than $100,000 in their 401(k) accounts at their current employers.
  • Nearly a quarter showed balances greater than $200,000.
  • Of the broader EBRI/ICI 401(k) database, only about one in five 401(k) savers had accounts with more than $100,000. Only 1 in 10 had a balance of more than $200,000. 

 

The study looks at the accounts of about 4.2 million consistent participants—those who remained active in the same 401(k) plan for the six-year period covering year-end 2007 to year-end 2013, out of the 26.4 million participant accounts in the entire EBRI/ICI 401(k) database at year-end 2013.

While the separate, annual update report on the EBRI/ICI 401(k) database is based on large cross sections of 401(k) plan participants with a wide range of tenure and participation experience, focusing on accounts that remain in the database for an extended period allows for a more meaningful analysis of the potential for 401(k) participants to accumulate retirement assets over time. 

“What Does Consistent Participation in 401(k) Plans Generate? Changes in 401(k) Account Balances, 2007–2013” can be accessed from ICI’s website.

 

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