Rodio, based in Philadelphia, is
responsible for assisting clients with setting investment strategy and
coordinating implementation, including customized portfolio construction,
manager selection and risk-focused dynamic strategies. He reports to Debra
Woida, leader of Towers Watson’s delegated services in the U.S.
Prior
to joining Towers Watson, Rodio was with Aberdeen Asset Management since 2004,
where he held senior leadership positions in U.S. institutional distribution
and fixed income. At Aberdeen, he also served as a senior relationship manager
and fixed income investment specialist. He held similar roles at Morgan Stanley
Investment Management, the former Miller Anderson & Sherrerd LLP.
In
Northern Trust’s fourth quarter 2011 survey, 81% of participating investment
managers expect job growth to remain stable or accelerate over the next six
months, an increase of nine percentage points from the third quarter survey. In
addition, 74% believe economic growth, as measured by GDP, will remain stable
or accelerate over the same period, 10% more than the previous quarter. More
than half (52%) expect corporate earnings to increase in the next three months,
up from 34% who held that view in the prior quarter.
However,
this optimism is tempered by concerns over the ongoing debt crisis in Europe,
with managers ranking this issue as the biggest risk to equity markets during
the first half of 2012. A majority of managers (56%) believe a continuation of
the crisis will likely result in one or more countries being asked to exit the
European Union.
Managers
continue to find attractive buying opportunities in U.S. equities, but the
perceived degree of undervaluation changed significantly compared to the third
quarter survey, following a significant upswing in equity markets during
October. Thirty-three percent of managers believe the Standard & Poor’s 500
Index is undervalued by more than 10%, compared to 52% who held this view in
the prior quarter. At the same time, the group of managers that see the S&P
500 as undervalued by 10% or less grew to 42% in the fourth quarter, up from
23% previously. Managers also shifted to a more bullish outlook on emerging
market equities, with 61% stating that the asset class was undervalued, up 15
percentage points from their third quarter view.
Other
major findings from the survey include:
Managers were most bullish on U.S. large cap equities,
U.S. small cap equities and emerging markets during the quarter. They were
most bearish on conservative fixed income instruments such as Treasuries
and investment grade bonds.
The percentage of managers holding above average levels
of cash came down modestly from 23% in the third quarter to 15% in the
fourth quarter.
Managers identified technology, energy and consumer
staples as the three sectors that they are most bullish about going
forward, while they are bearish on financials, utilities and
materials.
Respondents had mixed views on the potential impact
from another sovereign debt downgrade in the U.S. While 51% of managers
said a downgrade would have minimal impact, 44% indicated the impact would
be negative and 5% said it would be positive.
The survey of 105 institutional
managers was conducted in mid-December. Respondent firms participate in
Northern Trust’s external manager platform for multi-manager investment
solutions.