This marked the ninth consecutive month that trading
activity was below 0.03%. The index also shows that total transfer activity was
$291 million, with only one day in July having above-normal trading activity.
The Aon Hewitt index defines a normal level of relative transfer activity as
when the net daily movement of participants’ balances, as a percent of total
401(k) balances within the index, equals between 0.3 times and 1.5 times the
average daily net activity of the preceding year.
When trading occurred, notes the index, plan participants
favored equity funds over fixed-income funds for 64% of the trading days. This
was the first time since January that the month had a majority of
equity-favored days.
July also saw international funds receiving the most inflows
with $107 million (37%), followed by premixed funds at $70 million (24%), and
money market funds with $64 million (22%). The funds with the most outflows
were stable value/GIC funds with $96 million (33%), small U.S. equity funds
with $79 million (27%), and bond funds with $49 million (17%).
Equity market performance during July was mixed, with
emerging markets posting positive results and developed markets experiencing
losses. The MSCI Emerging Markets Index (a measure of companies based in
emerging markets) posted a positive 2.1% return, while the MSCI EAFE Index (a
measure of companies based in developed markets outside of the United States)
fell by close to 2%. The Russell 2000 Index (a measure of U.S. small cap
companies) fell -6.1% and the S&P 500 (a measure of U.S. large cap companies)
fell 1.4% throughout the month. The Barclays U.S. Aggregate Index (a measure of
the U.S. fixed income market), fell 0.3% during the month.
After
incorporating trading and market activity, participants’ overall allocation to
equities at the end of July remained unchanged at 65.5%. Expected future
contributions to equities decreased marginally to 66.5% from 66.6%.
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A recent Federal Reserve report suggests many U.S.
households are faring well on short-term finances, but sizable fractions of the
population are failing to prepare adequately for retirement.
The report provides a snapshot of the self-perceived
financial and economic well-being of U.S. households and the issues they
commonly face, based on a 2013 survey of household economics and
decision-making from the Federal Reserve Board. The report provides insight
into topics that touch on household finances, including housing and living
arrangements; credit access and behavior; education and student loan debt;
savings; retirement; and health expenses.
The survey found that, as of September 2013, over 60% of
households reported that their families were either “doing OK” or “living
comfortably” financially. About one-fourth said that they were “just getting
by” financially, and another 13% said they were “struggling” to do so.
The effects of the recession also continued to be felt by
many households, with 34% reporting that they were somewhat worse off or much
worse off financially than they had been prior to the start of the latest
recession, in 2008. And 34% reported that they were about the same situation
financially compared with pre-recession days.
Notably, the survey results suggest that many households are
not adequately prepared for retirement. Thirty-one percent of non-retired
respondents reported having no retirement savings or pension, including 19% of
those ages 55 to 64. Additionally, almost half of adults were not actively
thinking about financial planning for retirement, with 24% saying they had
given only a little thought to financial planning for their retirement and
another 25% saying they had done no planning at all.
Of those who have given at least some thought to retirement
planning and plan to retire at some point, 25% didn’t know how they will pay
their expenses in retirement (see “Baby
Boomers Stuck in the Middle”). The Great Recession also apparently pushed
back the planned date of retirement for two-fifths of those ages 45 and over
who had not yet retired. Conversely, about 15% of those who had retired since
2008 reported that they actually retired earlier than planned due to the
recession.
Among
those ages 55 to 64 who had not yet retired, only 18% plan to follow the
traditional retirement model of working full time until a set date and then
stop working altogether, while 24% expected to keep working as long as
possible. Eighteen percent expected to retire and work part-time, and 9%
expected to retire and become self-employed.
The outlook for the housing market among homeowners appeared
generally positive, as many homeowners expected house prices in their
neighborhoods to increase over the 12 months following the survey. The data
suggests 26% of homeowners expect an increase in value of 5% or less, and 14% expect
an increase in values of greater than 5%. Less than 10% of homeowners expected
house prices in their neighborhoods to decline over the 12 months following the
survey.
Many renters seemed to express an interest in homeownership,
as the most common reasons cited for renting rather than owning a home were the
inability to afford the necessary down payment (45%) and the inability to
qualify for a mortgage (29%). Ten percent of renters reported that they were
currently looking to buy a home.
The availability of credit was still perceived to be
relatively low by some respondents in September 2013. While 31% of survey
respondents had applied for some type of credit in the previous12 months,
one-third of those who applied for credit were turned down or given less credit
than they applied for. Moreover, 19% of respondents put off applying for some
type of credit because they thought they would be turned down. Just over half
of respondents were confident in their ability to obtain a mortgage, were they
to apply.
As of September 2013, education debts of some kind were held
by 24% of the U.S. population—with 16% having acquired debt for their own
education, 7% for their spouse or partner's education, and 6% for their child's
education (see “Linking
Student Debt and Retirement Savings”). Of those with loans of each type,
the average amount of debt for respondents' own education was $25,750; for
their spouse/partner's education, $24,593; and for their children's education,
$14,923.
Of those who reported having debt for their own or a family
member's education, the average total of all education debt was $27,840, with a
median of $15,000. Some households struggle to service this debt, the Federal
Reserve says, with 18% of respondents indicating that they were behind on
payments in some way for their education debt, including 9% with loans in
collections.
Among those in debt for their own education, those who
failed to complete the degree or program they borrowed money for were far more
likely to report having to cut back on spending to make their student loan
payments. Further, this group reported that the costs of the education
outweighed any financial benefits they received from the education. The amount
of debt acquired, and the self-perceived value of the education, also varied by
the type of institution attended, according to Federal Reserve data.
The
survey was conducted on behalf of the Board by GfK, an online consumer research
firm. Data was collected in September and October 2013. A full copy of the
report is available here, and a supplemental appendix is also available.