IMHO: Utility “Bill″

While it’s been a relatively mild winter here (and it’s not over yet), it’s been cold enough—and our house old enough—that opening the various utility bills has been akin to a monthly exercise in economic roulette.
Not that we don’t know what the rates are (though that doesn’t mean they’re reasonable, IMHO), and not that, with some effort, we couldn’t find the appropriate meters and, at least in theory, undertake the calculations that would allow us to know what we have to pay before that envelope arrives. Still, those fees (more accurately, fee rates) are disclosed, and in theory, I am able to monitor them.
The reality, of course, is something different. The placements that make it convenient for the entities that deliver fuel and power to my home make it somewhat less than convenient for me to get to them on a regular basis (particularly during the winter months). Not that it would matter in any event—when it comes to utility preferences, my choices as a homeowner are relatively limited. My only viable recourse—and one that I entertain at least briefly following the receipt of each month’s bill—is simply to consume less of what I am being charged for. Sweaters for everyone!
Retirement savings plan participants are not dissimilarly positioned, IMHO. In theory most—despite the angst of lawmakers—are already in possession of information that would allow them to figure out what they are paying for their retirement accounts, although not always in a place, or explained in a manner, that makes the task easy1. Additionally, when it comes to retirement savings plans, most of us are “stuck’ with the plan chosen by our employer.
It’s not quite a utility monopoly, of course—I don’t have to save for retirement, and I certainly am not limited to doing so within the confines of a workplace retirement plan (of course, I don’t have to heat my house, either, but you take my point). It is, of course, the only practical way to avail myself of the “free money’ of the company match (if available), and for most, it’s a significantly more convenient option than setting up a payroll deduction for a savings account (particularly for those lacking the discipline to deposit money regularly). For most, then, if there is an issue with what they are being charged for those services (and many don’t have an issue because they don’t know how much they are paying), the only viable recourse is, like with my home utilities, to consume less of what they are being charged for.
Tell “Tail’
That, of course, is the concern expressed by those defending the status quo on participant fee disclosure; that if we tell people how much they are paying, they will stop participating in these programs. That would be an unfortunate and, I think, unintended consequence, since by most measures, most folks already aren’t saving “enough.’
As a consumer, I’m not happy about the high cost of my utility bills. There are limits to how many layers one can put on, or how low you can set the thermostat at night and still be able to sleep. But seeing that cost every month does at least provide the opportunity to consider alternatives, including a greater involvement with the powers that oversee such matters. Similarly, seeing the cost of my retirement plan spelled out as a number separate and apart from the investment returns in which it is currently imbedded isn’t a panacea. Some may well decide that they don’t want to pay that much, or use that cost as a rationalization for not saving at all.
But it also might provide a reason for participants (and plan sponsors) to consider some more-cost-effective alternatives (such as index funds or lower-expense share classes), it might engender a more proactive dialogue about curtailing some of these unnecessary “bells and whistles’ that add cost but little value to these programs—and it might even foster greater participant attention to these critical savings vehicles. But even if it doesn’t—and even if the disclosure costs participation in the short-term—no one is well-served by a system that people think is “free.’
We don’t know how participants will react if those disclosures were more explicit2. But every time I hear someone caution against doing so, one of two thoughts comes to mind: first, that they haven’t got a clue how little attention participants actually pay to these accounts and the accompanying disclosures; and second, that “they’ have something to hide.
– Nevin E. Adams, JD

1Ironically, most of the regulatory focus to date has been on the types of accounts where prospectus disclosures are available, but almost none on the part of the industry reliant on annuity investments, where, by most accounts, fees are higher and disclosures nearly non-existent – but that’s a topic for another column.
2Anecdotally, there are a growing number of programs out there that offer that level of fee disclosure – and I have never heard that it has actually created an issue with participation rate declines of any real consequence.

RIAs Much Less Optimistic about the Economy than Last Year

Independent registered investment advisers (RIAs) are much less optimistic about the economy than they were previously, says the latest Schwab Institutional survey.

Forty-one percent of advisers surveyed in the second half of January said the S&P will fall in the next six months, compared to just 18% who said the same in July 2007, Schwab said in a press release. In addition, 81% of advisers said it is likely the housing market will continue to soften, and 78% said unemployment will increase in the next six months. Sixty-two percent also indicated they anticipate a rise in inflation in the next six months.

Bernie Clark, senior vice president of Schwab Institutional, said about one-quarter of advisers said their clients either postponed selling a home (26%) or discussed postponing retirement (23%). More than half of advisers (51%) said their clients have experienced real property loss in the last 12 months, and 67% indicated their clients are concerned about the impact of the sub-prime mortgage issue on their portfolios.

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However, Clark also pointed out that only 18% of advisers said their clients needed reassurance during the last six months – “a testament to the strong relationships that investors have with their advisers.’

A Shift in Investment Strategy

With their optimism in the market down, advisers continue to view large cap stocks from both the U.S. and developed international markets as their preferred equity investments and expect to maintain or slightly increase their investments, Schwab said. Its study also found an increase in advisers’ plans to invest more in fixed income and cash. Fifty-one percent said their clients have asked for more conservative investments in the past year.

Interest in fixed income allocations has risen from 18% in July to 27%, and nearly twice as many advisers now say they will invest more in cash (28% vs. 16% in July) in the next six months. Additionally, 82% of advisers said they currently invest in exchange-traded funds (ETFs), and 36% indicated they plan to increase their investments in ETFs during the next six months.

Advisers expect health care to be the top performing sector in the next six months (46%), while consumer staples and energy tied for second place (35% each). Utilities, many of which pay cash dividends, surged to third place (30%).

Hong Kong ranks number one (35%) as advisers’ pick for the top performing developed international market during the next six months, Schwab found. Singapore ranked second (32%) and Japan and Australia tied for third (23%).

Schwab’s semi-annual Independent Advisor Outlook Study included responses from more than 1,000 independent investment advisers with $231 billion in total assets under management. The study was conducted January 17-28, 2008. Detailed results can be viewed here.

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