A Look Back at Historical Performance

New data published by Morningstar offers a historical perspective on the market returns of major asset classes.
The data, which reflects updated historical market figures* for the major asset classes from the beginning of 1926 through 2006, and for the year just ended, is based on data from Ibbotson Associates:
1926 Forward
Large-Company Stocks (as measured by the S&P 500) returned 10.4% per year (unchanged from 2005)
Small-Company Stocks (bottom 20% of companies by market cap on the NYSE and companies of similar size on the NASDAQ and AMEX) returned 12.7% per year (compared to 12.6% from 1926 through 2005).
Bonds (long-term government) returned 5.4% per year (compared to 5.5% from 1926 through 2005)
Cash (30-day T Bill) returned 3.7% per year (unchanged from 2005)
Inflation remained 3.0%
2006 returns:
Large-Company Stocks returned 15.8%, compared to 4.9% in 2005.
Small-Company Stocks returned 16.2%, compared to 5.7% in 2005 (8th year in a row that the index beat large-cap stocks. Last time small stocks had a run that long was the 10-year period from 1974 through 1983)
Bonds returned 1.2% (lowest return since 1999), compared to 7.8% in 2005
Cash returned 4.8%, compared to 3.0% last year
Inflation was 2.0% down from 3.4% last year
*These numbers are not adjusted for inflation and assume reinvested dividends.

Deutsche Bank, PowerShares Launch 7 New ETFs

Deutsche Bank and PowerShares Capital Management LLC have announced that seven PowerShares DB Commodity Sector exchange-traded funds have been listed on the American Stock Exchange.
The funds will offer investors access to commodities through the Optimum Yield versions of the Deutsche Bank Liquid Commodity Index sub-indexes, according to a press release.
Optimum Yield seeks to minimize the effects of negative roll yield when markets are in contango (that is, when the next-to-expire contract is trading at a lower price than contracts expiring in later months) and maximize the effects of positive roll yield when markets are backwardated (that is, when the next-to-expire contract is trading at a higher price than contracts expiring in later months).
The funds will enter into long exchange-traded commodity futures positions and will also generate interest on cash and United States treasury securities held as collateral for the futures contracts they hold.
The funds and their tickers are:
  • PowerShares DB Agriculture Fund (AMEX: DBA)
  • PowerShares DB Base Metals Fund (AMEX: DBB)
  • PowerShares DB Energy Fund (AMEX: DBE)
  • PowerShares DB Oil Fund (AMEX: DBO)
  • PowerShares DB Precious Metals Fund (AMEX: DBP)
  • PowerShares DB Silver Fund (AMEX: DBS)
  • PowerShares DB Gold Fund (AMEX: DGL)
More information on the funds is available at www.dbfunds.db.com

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