So reported a panel of experts hosted by American Beacon
Advisors in New York. The panel, comprised of a number of active
portfolio managers, pointed mainly to high-yield bonds and dividend-paying
stocks as promising investments historically during periods of rising interest
rates.
“Equities tend to outperform bonds during this type of
period, and within the equity world, dividend-yielding stocks tend to be the
best,” Mark DeVaul, a portfolio manager at The London Company of Virginia,
said. “It’s a very positive time for investors to look at dividend-yielding strategies
when they are worried about higher interest rates.”
This is because dividends over the last eight years have
grown by more than 50%, DeVaul said, and that growth has served as a powerful
hedge against inflation, portfolio volatility and falling bond prices. He expects
that continuing pressures on companies to improve efficiency in the face of wider economic
challenges will likely cause dividend growth to continue.
Jack Flaherty, another panelist and investment director at
GAM International Management, discussed the positive and negative aspects of adopting
an unconstrained bond portfolio during periods of rising interest rates as a
means of bucking the traditional performance of bonds during these periods.
“Duration management
is number one,” Flaherty said. “With short durations in a rising rate
environment, you can make money. We also look at taking a relative value global
approach as a pretty good opportunity.”
Flaherty also mentioned adding short-term convertible bonds as
a part of an effective asset-allocation strategy during periods of rising
interest rates.
Other panelists included Francis Scotland, director of
Brandywine Global Investment Management; and Martin Smith, senior portfolio
manager and partner at PENN Capital Management Company.